Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.583519 8.497314 9.573944 10.964404 12.758520 15.068331 18.406529
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.172319 8.543876 10.366035 13.111285 17.477260 24.998036 42.203154
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.236963 7.715504 9.838674 13.412916 20.182846 36.018282 114.232567
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.829975 7.521734 10.181051 15.343879 28.091418 86.125469 NaN
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.404446 7.219530 10.304929 17.178228 40.526359 1004.189367 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.836967 6.590171 9.710357 17.300972 50.559940 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.324239 5.968849 8.987827 16.809678 59.458855 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.195033 5.980430 9.527750 20.491564 174.651616 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.243570 6.328552 10.985134 30.701562 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.111818 6.312222 11.634161 41.133732 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.931897 6.165370 11.906507 52.885291 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.709594 5.890241 11.707778 61.594356 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.455267 5.553888 11.363895 73.087215 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.300564 5.417416 11.674723 121.425909 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.001532 4.903530 10.442404 95.473507 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.845243 4.703368 10.323022 135.189779 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.688962 4.480224 10.039290 182.676621 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.492232 4.135968 9.171004 139.698879 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.308551 3.806600 8.300541 99.622893 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.249589 3.768892 8.571067 211.318359 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.251439 3.880619 9.559610 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.196196 3.839910 9.874228 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.126012 3.750046 9.910910 NaN NaN NaN NaN